Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
