World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 9, 2024 at 1am UK

FFB Field

Belize
0 - 4
Nicaragua

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hernandez (39', 39', 65', 65'), Barrera (56' pen., 56' pen.), Moreno (89' pen., 89' pen.)
Perez (14'), Perez (14'), Serapio (45+4'), Serapio (45+4'), Serapio (61'), Arteaga (61'), Arteaga (61'), J (61')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Belize and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belize

All competitions

Last Game: Belize 0-0 Puerto Rico
Monday, March 25 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Nicaragua

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Belize had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Belize win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
Belize	Draw	Nicaragua
33.29% ( 0.05)	28.13% ( 0.02)	38.58% ( -0.08)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Belize	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.29%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.57%