Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
