UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Austria national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Raiffeisen Arena
Kazakhstan national football team

Austria
4 - 0
Kazakhstan

Baumgartner (10'), Lienhart (54'), Sabitzer (56'), Seidl (79')
Prass (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alip (61'), Astanov (65'), Astanov (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Austria and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawKazakhstan
61.71% (0.062000000000005 0.06)22.08% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)16.21% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.298 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (0.377 0.38)49.64% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (0.337 0.34)71.66% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.146 0.15)15.58% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.275 0.27)44.54% (-0.276 -0.28)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.37% (0.257 0.26)43.63% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (0.211 0.21)79.82% (-0.212 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Austria 61.69%
    Kazakhstan 16.21%
    Draw 22.08%
AustriaDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 12.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 11.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.35% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 16.21%

How you voted: Austria vs Kazakhstan

Austria
89.1%
Draw
8.0%
Kazakhstan
2.9%
138
rhs 2.0
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