Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alfonso Lopez

Atletico Bucaramanga
0 - 4
Racing


Sambueza (33'), Romana (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (4'), Solari (56'), Sosa (69'), Barrios (90+4')
Solari (44'), Salas (66'), Almendra (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Bucaramanga and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Bucaramanga

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Last Game: Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Newell's OB
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Atletico Bucaramanga had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for an Atletico Bucaramanga win it was 1-0 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Atletico BucaramangaDrawRacing Club
26.41% (0.059000000000001 0.06)29.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)44.5% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 41.8% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.8% (-0.123 -0.12)64.2% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.67% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)83.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Atletico Bucaramanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)41.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.23% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)77.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)28.87% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.145 -0.15)64.74% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Bucaramanga 26.4%
    Racing Club 44.5%
    Draw 29.08%
Atletico BucaramangaDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 14.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 44.5%

How you voted: Atletico Bucaramanga vs Racing

Atletico Bucaramanga
41.2%
Draw
17.6%
Racing Club
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Racing
1-2
Atlético Bucaramanga
Barrios (90+2')
Zuculini (70'), Solari (90+5')
Pons (54'), Sambueza (64')
Flores (81'), Castaneda (84'), Castaneda (85')