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UEFA Conference League

Astana
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadion Akademii T.S.Segizbaeva

Astana
1 - 0
Milsami

Tomasov (49')
Camara (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Luchita (20'), Udo Ndon (33'), Lisu (70')
Udo Ndon (55')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Astana and Milsami.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

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Last Game: Milsami 1-1 Astana
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Milsami

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Last Game: Milsami 1-1 Astana
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Milsami had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Milsami win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Astana in this match.

Result
AstanaDrawMilsami
61.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)22.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)48.86% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)70.95% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)15.45% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.7% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)44.3% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Milsami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)42.61% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.04% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)78.96% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Astana 61.28%
    Milsami 16.63%
    Draw 22.06%
AstanaDrawMilsami
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: Astana vs Milsami

Astana
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Milsami
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Milsami
1-1
Astana
Lupano (90')
Khali (79')
Gripshi (57')
Kazukolovas (66'), Chinedu (80'), Chinedu (81')