Aruba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 18, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Estadio Jose F. Pepe Raymundi

Aruba
0 - 1
Sint Maarten


Baly (39'), Lewis (74'), Anthony Kruydenhof (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Illidge (90+1')
Pata (67')
Pata (74')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Aruba and Sint Maarten.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Puerto Rico 5-1 Aruba
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Sint Maarten

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Sint Maarten 0-8 Haiti
Friday, November 15 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ArubaDrawSint Maarten
52.55% (0.348 0.35)21.42% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)26.02% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 65.18% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.42% (0.232 0.23)33.58% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.61% (0.264 0.26)55.39% (-0.264 -0.26)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (0.18600000000001 0.19)13.07% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (0.377 0.38)39.65% (-0.37799999999999 -0.38)
Sint Maarten Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)25.02% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)59.69% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aruba 52.55%
    Sint Maarten 26.02%
    Draw 21.42%
ArubaDrawSint Maarten
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.41% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 52.55%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.02%

Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 10pm
League B
Sint Maarten
2-0
Aruba
Lake (81'), Olivacce (90+2')

Melchor Rua (34')
rhs 2.0
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