Antigua and Barbuda national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Bermuda National Stadium
Dominican Republic national football team

Antigua
0 - 5
Dominican Rep.


Richards (50'), Stevens (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Garcia (11'), Romero (13'), Vasquez (39'), Firpo (88', 90+2' pen.)
Garcia (3')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Dominican Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-0 Dominica
Tuesday, September 10 at 4pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.19%) and 1-3 (6.18%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Antigua and BarbudaDrawDominican Republic
28% (-1.542 -1.54)21.44% (-0.714 -0.71)50.56% (2.262 2.26)
Both teams to score 67.02% (1.499 1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.05% (2.449 2.45)31.95% (-2.444 -2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.49% (2.808 2.81)53.51% (-2.802 -2.8)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.301 0.3)22.87% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (0.44 0.44)56.61% (-0.434 -0.43)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (1.618 1.62)13.11% (-1.612 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (3.188 3.19)39.75% (-3.182 -3.18)
Score Analysis
    Antigua and Barbuda 28%
    Dominican Republic 50.56%
    Draw 21.44%
Antigua and BarbudaDrawDominican Republic
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.358 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.42% (-0.564 -0.56)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.26% (-0.385 -0.39)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28%
1-1 @ 8.99% (-0.568 -0.57)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.413 -0.41)
3-3 @ 2.24% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.18% (0.338 0.34)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.443 -0.44)
2-3 @ 4.56% (0.288 0.29)
0-3 @ 4.19% (0.195 0.2)
1-4 @ 3.14% (0.342 0.34)
2-4 @ 2.32% (0.27 0.27)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.215 0.22)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.203 0.2)
3-4 @ 1.14% (0.142 0.14)
2-5 @ 0.94% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 50.56%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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> Premier League Full Table


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