Andorra national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadi Nacional
San Marino national football team

Andorra
2 - 0
San Marino

Rosas Ubach (10'), Pujol (39')
Pujol (32'), Da Cunha Costa Gomes (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pasolini (42'), Fabbri (51'), Franciosi (74'), Benvenuti (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Andorra and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Andorra
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League

San Marino

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 San Marino
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.

Result
AndorraDrawSan Marino
64.97% (-0.47099999999999 -0.47)21.55% (0.436 0.44)13.48% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.88% (-1.145 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5% (-1.614 -1.61)52.5% (1.613 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.83% (-1.404 -1.4)74.16% (1.402 1.4)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.68599999999999 -0.69)15.47% (0.685 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-1.293 -1.29)44.34% (1.292 1.29)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.73% (-0.936 -0.94)49.27% (0.935 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.85% (-0.673 -0.67)84.15% (0.67100000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Andorra 64.97%
    San Marino 13.48%
    Draw 21.54%
AndorraDrawSan Marino
1-0 @ 14.22% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 13.27% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 8.26% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 3.85% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 64.97%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.128 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.476 0.48)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 5.4% (0.199 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 13.48%

How you voted: Andorra vs San Marino

Andorra
56.3%
Draw
15.6%
San Marino
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
San Marino
0-3
Andorra

Simoncini (22'), Golinucci (63'), Censoni (66'), Grandoni (84')
Pujol (10'), Moreno (53'), Fernandez (89')
San Nicolas (28')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Andorra
2-0
San Marino
Vales (17', 24')
Pujol (54'), Alaez (62')

Battistini (64'), Hirsch (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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