Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Hacken had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Hacken win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
