Albania national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Ukraine national football team

Albania
1 - 2
Ukraine

Bajrami (75' pen.)
Bajrami (69'), Tuci (80'), Dovbyk (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zinchenko (5'), Yaremchuk (10')
Mitaj (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Albania and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-0 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Albania had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawUkraine
33.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)27.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.89% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.81% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.051000000000002 0.05)32.02% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (0.058 0.06)68.49% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.24% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Albania 33.16%
    Ukraine 39.25%
    Draw 27.57%
AlbaniaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.25%

How you voted: Albania vs Ukraine

Albania
39.7%
Draw
33.0%
Ukraine
27.3%
194
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Ukraine
1-2
Albania
Konoplya (49')
Ismajli (54'), Asani (66')
Asani (68'), Strakosha (90')
Jun 3, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Albania
1-4
Ukraine
Ndoj (89')
Konoplyanka (31', 90'), Yarmolenko (36', 45')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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