Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.