Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Complexul Sportiv Raional
Astana

Milsami
1 - 1
Astana

Lupano (90')
Khali (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gripshi (57')
Kazukolovas (66'), Chinedu (80'), Chinedu (81')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Milsami and Astana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Milsami

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Milsami 0-0 Torpedo-BelAZ
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Astana

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Plzen 3-0 Astana
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Milsami had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Milsami win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
MilsamiDrawAstana
25.32% (0.141 0.14)28.51% (0.035999999999998 0.04)46.17% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 42.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)82.46% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
Milsami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (0.11 0.11)41.53% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (0.096 0.1)78.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.108 -0.11)27.41% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (-0.14 -0.14)62.89% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Milsami 25.31%
    Astana 46.17%
    Draw 28.5%
MilsamiDrawAstana
1-0 @ 10% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.69% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 25.31%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.5%
0-1 @ 14.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 46.17%

How you voted: Milsami vs Astana

Milsami
23.1%
Draw
30.8%
Astana
46.2%
13