Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
